WisePaul’s Paul was inspired by a real octopus. In 2010, an octopus called Paul at the Sea Life aquarium in Oberhausen, Germany, became a global celebrity for picking the results of the World Cup.
The method was simple: two clear boxes of food, each marked with a team’s flag. The first one he opened was his pick. There were no draws: it was one or the other.

He got all eight of his 2010 World Cup picks right, the final included, and finished with 12 correct out of 14 once Euro 2008 is counted. Some saw magic; statisticians likened the streak to tossing coins, with two options in every match. Either way, the story shows why predicting football is so much fun: nobody knows, everyone has an opinion and luck gets a vote.

